Economic Foresight As A Strategic Option To Achieve Diversification Of Gdp In Algeria, An Econometric Study To Anticipate The Diversification Index In Gdp (2020-2030) Using Ardl Model

This study aimed to highlight the Algerian need to adopt economic foresight as a strategic option in order to build an economic system based on economic diversification, which allows achieving diversification in GDP. For this purpose, the descriptive and analytical approach and the forward-looking approach were adopted in order to anticipate the diversification index in GDP during the period (2020-2030). The study confirmed the existence of a long-term balanced relationship between the diversification index in GDP and the added value of economic sectors that can contribute to its diversification. The forward-looking study also reached the construction of two scenarios, the first is exploratory pessimistic and the other is proactive optimistic, through which a future strategy was proposed to achieve diversification of GDP in Algeria.