جاري التحميل…
جاري التحميل…
The issue of export diversification constitutes a major challenge for oil-dependent nations in general, and Algeria in particular. Consequently, this study investigates the determinants of non-hydrocarbon exports in Algeria over the period 1980-2023. To achieve this objective, the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was employed, after the bounds testing procedure confirmed the existence of a cointegrating relationship among the variables under study. The long-run estimation results indicate that a 1% increase in non-hydrocarbon GDP leads to a 3.68% increase in non-hydrocarbon exports, whereas a 1% increase in the real effective exchange rate results in a 1.85% decrease in these exports. Trade openness exhibits a strong positive effect, as a 1% increase in openness raises non-hydrocarbon exports by 2.77%. Furthermore, inflation exhibits a positive effect with an elasticity of 0.40%. These findings underscore the importance of adopting policies that aim to strengthen the productive base, enhance competitiveness, and deepen trade openness to support the process of export diversification in Algeria.
للاستشهاد بهذا المقال
بن شاعة م., & رملاوي ع. ا. (2025). نمذجة قياسية لمحددات الصادرات خارج قطاع المحروقات في الجزائر. مجلة العلوم الاقتصادية وعلوم التسيير, 25(2), 193-203. https://asjp.cerist.dz/en/article/282097